In 2003, Indonesia's currency, the rupiah (IDR), was in a period of cautious stabilization following the profound trauma of the 1997-98 Asian Financial Crisis. During that crisis, the rupiah had lost over 80% of its value against the US dollar, plunging the economy into deep recession and social turmoil. By 2003, under the presidency of Megawati Sukarnoputri and with oversight from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) program concluding that year, the currency had recovered significantly from its lowest point but remained vulnerable and subject to volatility. The central bank, Bank Indonesia, maintained a managed float regime, intervening in foreign exchange markets to smooth out excessive fluctuations without targeting a specific fixed rate.
The year was characterized by a "twin deficits" challenge, with both the government budget and the current account running in the red. This created underlying pressure on the rupiah, as it increased reliance on foreign capital inflows. Investor sentiment was periodically rattled by domestic and international events, including the aftermath of the 2002 Bali bombings, the Iraq War, and the outbreak of SARS in Asia, which all contributed to risk aversion. Consequently, the rupiah traded in a relatively wide band, fluctuating between approximately 8,400 and 8,900 against the US dollar throughout the year, reflecting persistent concerns about political stability, corporate debt restructuring, and the health of the banking sector.
Despite these pressures, 2003 saw continued, albeit fragile, progress. Key reforms in banking supervision and fiscal management, initiated after the crisis, began to provide a stronger institutional foundation. Inflation was brought under control, falling to a historic low, which allowed Bank Indonesia to gradually lower interest rates to stimulate growth. The conclusion of the IMF program in December 2003 was a symbolic milestone, signaling restored—but not complete—international confidence. Overall, the currency situation in 2003 was one of a recovering economy still navigating the long shadow of financial collapse, with the rupiah stable yet sensitive to shifts in global risk appetite and domestic policy credibility.