In 2017, Peru's currency, the sol (PEN), demonstrated notable resilience and appreciation, strengthening by approximately 5% against the US dollar over the course of the year. This performance was underpinned by a combination of robust macroeconomic fundamentals, including controlled inflation, sustained economic growth, and strong foreign investment flows, particularly in the mining sector. The Peruvian Central Bank (BCRP) maintained a proactive and credible monetary policy, utilizing foreign exchange interventions to smooth out excessive volatility while allowing the currency to reflect market fundamentals. This stability was achieved despite ongoing political turbulence, including a corruption scandal involving Brazilian conglomerate Odebrecht that implicated several former Peruvian presidents.
The currency's strength presented a dual-edged sword for the economy. On one hand, a stronger sol helped keep inflation within the BCRP's target range (1-3%), lowering the cost of imports and supporting consumer purchasing power. On the other hand, it posed challenges for export competitiveness, making Peruvian minerals, agricultural products, and other exports more expensive on the global market. This dynamic was a point of concern for key industries, even as the country benefited from a rebound in global commodity prices, particularly for copper, which is Peru's primary export.
Overall, 2017 was characterized by a managed float exchange rate regime functioning effectively. The sol's appreciation was a reflection of investor confidence in Peru's sound fiscal and monetary policies, which acted as a buffer against political instability. The year concluded with the currency on a strong note, providing a stable monetary environment for the economy, though policymakers remained attentive to the potential downsides of an overly strong currency for the tradable sectors of the economy.