In 1997, Kazakhstan was navigating the complex aftermath of the Soviet Union's collapse, having introduced its own currency, the
tenge, in November 1993. The initial years were marked by high inflation and instability, but by 1997, the country had achieved a degree of macroeconomic stabilization. The tenge was operating under a
managed float regime, with the National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) intervening to control its volatility against a basket of currencies, primarily the US dollar and Russian ruble. This period was characterized by relative calm, with inflation falling and the exchange rate being maintained within a stable band, fostering early confidence in the new national currency.
However, this stability was severely tested by external shocks in 1997. The
Asian Financial Crisis that began in mid-1997 triggered a global flight to safety, reducing investor appetite for emerging markets like Kazakhstan. More directly impactful was the
Russian financial crisis of 1998, which began with pressure on the ruble in late 1997. As Kazakhstan's largest trading partner, Russia's economic turmoil created immense speculative pressure on the tenge. Export revenues fell sharply due to collapsing commodity prices, particularly oil and metals, widening the current account deficit and draining foreign currency reserves.
Consequently, by the end of 1997, the NBK was engaged in a costly and ultimately unsustainable defense of the tenge's peg. It spent hundreds of millions of dollars in reserves to support the currency in the face of mounting capital outflows and speculative attacks. This set the stage for the inevitable devaluation that would occur in
April 1999, when the NBK abandoned its defense and shifted to a free float. Thus, 1997 represents the closing chapter of the tenge's initial stability, a year where external storms gathered force and precipitated the currency crisis that would define the following period.