In 1985, Egypt’s currency situation was defined by a severe and growing crisis centered on its overvalued official exchange rate. The Egyptian pound was pegged to the U.S. dollar at an artificial rate of approximately E£1.00 = $1.43, a level maintained by the government since 1979. This official rate, however, bore little relation to economic reality. A massive parallel black market for foreign currency had emerged, where the pound traded at less than half its official value, reflecting widespread loss of confidence, high inflation, and a yawning trade deficit. This dual-system created significant distortions, discouraging vital remittances and exports while encouraging capital flight and import dependency.
The roots of this crisis lay in the economic policies of the preceding decade. The 1970s
Infitah (economic opening) had increased imports and consumption without generating sufficient productive exports, leading to persistent current account deficits. By the mid-1980s, external shocks exacerbated these vulnerabilities: a sharp decline in oil prices reduced crucial revenue from exports, worker remittances, and Suez Canal tolls. Consequently, foreign exchange reserves dwindled, and Egypt became increasingly reliant on external borrowing and aid, primarily from the United States and international institutions, to support the unsustainable peg and finance essential imports.
The untenable currency position in 1985 set the stage for a major economic reckoning. Pressure from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for structural reforms, including a significant devaluation, was mounting. The government, wary of the social and political instability that a sudden devaluation could cause—particularly in raising the cost of basic subsidized goods—resisted immediate action. However, by the year's end, it was clear that maintaining the status quo was impossible, paving the way for the series of controlled devaluations and eventual shift to a unified, market-driven exchange rate system that would characterize the late 1980s and early 1990s.