In 1968, Yugoslavia operated under a unique economic model known as the "socialist market economy," which sought to blend worker self-management with elements of market competition. The national currency was the Yugoslav dinar (YUD), whose value and stability were centrally managed by the National Bank of Yugoslavia. However, the system was characterized by a complex web of fixed and multiple exchange rates, with different rates applied to various sectors like tourism, essential imports, and non-essential goods. This intricate system was designed to control foreign exchange, protect domestic industries, and manage the country's balance of payments, but it also created inefficiencies and opportunities for arbitrage.
The broader economic context was one of growing strain. While the 1960s had seen significant economic growth and liberalizing reforms, by 1968 inflationary pressures were building due to excessive investment, loose credit policies, and rising wages that outpaced productivity. The country was running persistent trade deficits, depleting foreign currency reserves. This situation was exacerbated by the political and economic aftermath of the 1965 reforms, which had aimed to decentralize the economy and expose Yugoslav firms to international competition but had also led to increased unemployment and regional disparities.
Consequently, 1968 was a year of underlying monetary tension, setting the stage for more pronounced difficulties in the following decade. The multiple exchange rate regime and administrative controls were becoming increasingly unsustainable, masking the dinar's overvaluation. While a full-scale currency crisis was not yet imminent, the foundations for the chronic inflation and devaluations that would plague Yugoslavia in the 1970s and 1980s were firmly in place. The system's inherent contradictions—between market openness and administrative control—were becoming more apparent, challenging the stability of the dinar.