In 2002, India's currency landscape was characterized by a period of relative stability and consolidation following a decade of significant economic reforms. The Indian Rupee (INR) was on a managed float system, with its value broadly determined by market forces but with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) actively intervening to curb excessive volatility. This year saw the rupee trading in a range of approximately 47 to 49 against the US dollar, reflecting a gentle depreciation pressure. This was largely influenced by global factors, including a strengthening dollar in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and heightened geopolitical tensions, as well as domestic concerns like a widening current account deficit and the fiscal impact of a severe drought.
The period was also notable for the continuing efforts to modernize the financial system and promote currency stability. The RBI maintained a focus on building foreign exchange reserves, which grew steadily throughout the year, providing a robust buffer against external shocks. This reserve accumulation was aided by strong inflows from software exports and remittances from non-resident Indians (NRIs). Furthermore, 2002 fell within a multi-year phase of "capital account convertibility" being a topic of careful debate, with authorities proceeding cautiously to liberalize controls on foreign investment while safeguarding against sudden capital flight.
Overall, 2002 represented a year of cautious management rather than dramatic change. The currency regime successfully navigated external uncertainties without a crisis, providing a stable platform for economic growth. The focus remained on maintaining macroeconomic stability, controlling inflation, and gradually integrating with the global economy—a steady approach that laid groundwork for the stronger growth and significant foreign investment inflows that would follow in the coming years.