In 1996, Italy's currency situation was defined by its pivotal and tense final year within the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), the system designed to stabilize currencies ahead of the planned single European currency. The Italian lira had rejoined the ERM in November 1996 after a traumatic exit in September 1992, when it was forced to devalue dramatically under speculative attack. Its return was at a significantly devalued central rate, a hard-won concession that boosted export competitiveness but also symbolized the economic fragility and political instability that had plagued Italy in the early 1990s.
Domestically, the period was marked by a determined austerity drive led by Prime Minister Romano Prodi's center-left government, which took office in May 1996. The urgent goal was to meet the strict Maastricht Treaty convergence criteria—particularly reducing the budget deficit to below 3% of GDP and curbing public debt—to qualify for the first wave of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). This required severe fiscal measures, including a one-off "Eurotax," which was politically unpopular but crucial for demonstrating Italy's commitment to European integration and financial discipline to skeptical European partners, especially Germany.
Thus, the 1996 currency backdrop was one of a precarious balancing act. Italy was striving to maintain lira stability within the ERM's narrow bands while implementing harsh domestic reforms, all under the intense scrutiny of financial markets and European institutions. The year culminated in success on both fronts: the lira remained stable, and in 1997, Italy's deficit was confirmed to have met the 3% target. This paved the way for the historic 1998 decision to include Italy in the eurozone, effectively ending the lira's independent existence after 1999.