In 2011, Croatia's currency situation was defined by its long-standing use of the
kuna (HRK) and the nation's strategic path toward European Union accession. The kuna, introduced in 1994 after the independence war, had established itself as a stable and fully convertible currency, pegged to a basket of currencies but effectively shadowing the euro. This stability was overseen by the Croatian National Bank (HNB), which maintained a managed float exchange rate regime, successfully shielding the economy from the wild volatility seen in some neighboring regions during the global financial crisis. However, this stability came with significant intervention costs for the HNB.
The dominant financial narrative of 2011 was Croatia's intense preparation for EU membership, scheduled for July 2013. A key requirement for eventual Eurozone adoption was participation in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM II), which would require the kuna to maintain a stable exchange rate against the euro for a minimum of two years. Consequently, 2011 was a year of careful calibration, with monetary policy focused on maintaining kuna stability against the euro as a prerequisite for this next step. Public and political debate increasingly centered on the timeline for eventually replacing the kuna with the euro, though this was understood to be a post-accession project.
Despite institutional stability, underlying economic weaknesses posed challenges. The country was in the third year of a persistent recession, burdened by low growth, high public debt, and a large foreign trade deficit. These factors created downward pressures on the currency, which the HNB had to manage through foreign exchange reserves. Thus, the 2011 currency landscape was one of surface-level stability underpinned by strategic EU alignment, but also of underlying fragility as the economy struggled, highlighting the tension between monetary stability and broader fiscal and economic health.